Outcome base rates
What's normal — PI grant rate, infringement rate, revocation rate, settlement rate. Honest denominators using motion type.
Patentee win rate
Share of merits decisions where the patentee prevailed — infringement cases finding infringement, revocation cases upholding the patent. Settled, withdrawn, and procedural-only outcomes excluded from the denominator.
25%patentees prevail on the merits
4 merits decisions; 13 inconclusive cases excluded (small sample)
1 won · 3 lost · ↑ 50.0pp vs. prior 12 months
Win rate by year
Patentee win rate by year of first decision.
- 2023: 0% (0/1)
- 2025: 33.3% (1/3)
Win rate by division
Top divisions by merits-decision volume.
- Hamburg LD25%(n=4)
When patentees lose, why?
Of 3 losses…
33%
67%
Patent invalidated — 1 (33%)No infringement found — 2 (67%)
PI grant rate
60%
6 granted · 4 denied · 10 total decisions
PI grant rate (conservative)
60%
Granted / total PI decisions (incl. interim, withdrawn)
Infringement rate
33%
1 infringed · 2 not infringed
Revocation rate
—
Settlement / withdrawal rate
Settled / withdrawn / dismissed as a share of all non-pending outcomes.
13% 2 / 15
Outcomes by category (detailed)
Stacked breakdown using sharper outcome enums — revocation cases split into revoked_full / revoked_partial / maintained_as_*, etc.
Settlement timing
When settled or withdrawn cases actually closed — relative to procedural milestones.
By technology sector
Top sectors by case count (filter scope applied).
By case category
How outcome rates differ across the six L2 buckets.
- Infringement59
- Provisional measures17
- Revocation16
- Other8
By division
PI grant rate · infringement rate · revocation rate per division (within scope).
- Hamburg LD83 casesPI grant rate: 60%Infringement rate: 33%Revocation rate: —
- The Hague LD9 casesPI grant rate: —Infringement rate: —Revocation rate: —
- Copenhagen LD4 casesPI grant rate: —Infringement rate: —Revocation rate: —
- Paris LD3 casesPI grant rate: —Infringement rate: —Revocation rate: —
- Lisbon LD1 casesPI grant rate: —Infringement rate: —Revocation rate: —
Recent decisions
Most recent decisions in scope.
- 2026-03-24UPC_CFI_1049/2025Hamburg LDWithdrawnThe Hamburg Local Division ordered reimbursement of 60% of court fees to claimant BTL Medizintechnik GmbH following the previously granted withdrawal of its infringement action before closure of the written procedure, applying R. 370.9(b)(i) RoP (2025 version).
- 2026-02-25UPC_CFI_619/2025The Hague LDProcedural onlyThe Hague Local Division addressed GSK's R.263 application to amend its claim and Moderna's R.9 application to dismiss late-filed submissions in a parallel mRNA vaccine infringement action.
- 2026-02-25UPC_CFI_620/2025The Hague LDProcedural onlyThe Hague Local Division issued a procedural order under Rule 9 RoP in GSK's infringement action against Pfizer/BioNTech entities concerning vaccine-related patents, addressing admissibility of submissions in GSK's Reply.
- 2026-02-18UPC_CFI_616/2025The Hague LDProcedural onlyThe Hague Local Division ruled on GSK's application to amend its claim under Rule 263 RoP and Moderna's application to dismiss late-filed submissions under Rule 9 RoP in patent infringement proceedings relating to mRNA vaccine technology.
- 2025-12-19UPC_CFI_494/2025Hamburg LDProcedural onlyHamburg Local Division procedural order on HMD Global's request for production of licence agreements (R. 190 RoP) in Fraunhofer's SEP infringement action. The Court granted partial disclosure: HMD's request regarding the AAC Patent License Agreement with a named third party (whose identity is redacted) was granted subject to a confidentiality declaration, as Fraunhofer had consented. The request regarding a second bilateral agreement was not yet ripe for determination.
- 2025-12-19UPC_CFI_494/2025Hamburg LDProcedural onlyDuplicate of the Hamburg Local Division order (19 December 2025) on HMD Global's request for production of licence agreements under R. 190 RoP in Fraunhofer's MPEG-4/AAC SEP infringement proceedings against HMD Global.
- 2025-11-28UPC_CFI_619/2025The Hague LDProcedural onlyThe Hague Local Division issued a procedural order under R. 302 RoP addressing a procedural step in proceedings before the court.
- 2025-11-06UPC_CFI_1443/2025Hamburg LDPI grantedHamburg Local Division granted ex parte provisional measures (preliminary injunction) against Fileder Filter Systems Sp. z o.o. (Poland) for infringement of Brita SE's EP 2 131 940 B1 (water filter device with locking shaft). The injunction covers Belgium, Bulgaria, Denmark, Germany, Finland, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Romania, Sweden and Slovenia. Security of EUR 50,000 and provisional cost reimbursement of EUR 34,700 ordered.